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Bhuston, For the life of me, I can't figure out the logic of what you are sanyig. Forecasting is not based on historical tracks, but on direct modeling/simulation of the atmosphere. There was a great deal of uncertainty in this situation since 24h ago this low did not exist. And then it amplified in 12 hours into a major low. Anyway, I think you need to educate yourself about the forecast process before you sling accusations. Finally, the short-term forecasting problem is completely different than the climate prediction problem. I hear this over and over again... if you can't forecast 24h ahead, how can you forecast climate. Well you can. In one you are forecasting the exact position and magnitude of weather systems. In the other, you are forecasting the general climate over a season or year or decade. ...cliff mass

Bhuston, For the life of me, I can't figure out the logic of what you are sanyig. Forecasting is not based on historical tracks, but on direct modeling/simulation of the atmosphere. There was a great deal of uncertainty in this situation since 24h ago this low did not exist. And then it amplified in 12 hours into a major low. Anyway, I think you need to educate yourself about the forecast process before you sling accusations. Finally, the short-term forecasting problem is completely different than the climate prediction problem. I hear this over and over again... if you can't forecast 24h ahead, how can you forecast climate. Well you can. In one you are forecasting the exact position and magnitude of weather systems. In the other, you are forecasting the general climate over a season or year or decade. ...cliff mass

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